Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 240.769022 271.220991 304.969298 345.309496 392.432007 445.995100 511.853534
2025-04-27 201.409534 242.995648 293.211034 359.008369 443.985904 551.476518 700.072987
2025-05-04 175.573969 221.123494 279.203675 360.013690 471.680487 623.836952 852.763820
2025-05-11 153.600834 199.835930 261.294019 350.896853 481.559373 670.728531 976.297622
2025-05-18 137.359563 183.590397 247.219697 343.751536 491.231006 716.495149 1104.548542
2025-05-25 129.397700 177.519758 246.037394 354.154560 527.252785 806.562129 1321.327172
2025-06-01 119.734259 167.823062 238.242850 353.087564 544.436400 868.238232 1501.845722
2025-06-08 110.150485 157.227590 227.838892 346.324011 550.748669 911.620997 1657.222873
2025-06-15 103.523217 150.423733 222.448500 346.775507 568.941105 978.434109 1873.781484
2025-06-22 96.000753 141.565115 212.923586 339.063186 571.286118 1015.527688 2036.345375
2025-06-29 90.656500 135.686682 207.623212 337.910672 585.265335 1077.220647 2269.167773
2025-07-06 83.481304 126.326970 195.789096 323.898835 572.829781 1082.837153 2370.380929
2025-07-13 81.467846 125.367435 198.165955 336.255562 614.500814 1212.038542 2824.193898
2025-07-20 79.824130 124.895344 201.336543 350.487839 662.332826 1365.436048 3400.815922
2025-07-27 76.244946 120.840058 197.809034 351.357208 681.956894 1457.194705 3835.672603
2025-08-03 71.579441 114.580233 189.812492 342.520191 679.011320 1493.195216 4112.100742
2025-08-10 67.586101 109.242084 183.095689 335.582810 679.390002 1537.831183 4435.426227
2025-08-17 66.168019 108.376204 184.583843 345.681130 720.715853 1699.633460 5241.750877
2025-08-24 63.443902 104.968381 180.992763 344.645480 735.236760 1791.089287 5831.873557
2025-08-31 60.265309 100.536782 175.115133 338.080215 735.181415 1840.750806 6280.190273
2025-09-07 58.125339 97.898622 172.538597 338.518502 752.957126 1947.985079 7034.613262
2025-09-14 55.260628 93.741953 166.680057 331.031274 749.083940 1987.446911 7504.361026
2025-09-21 53.265952 91.123220 163.727576 329.912297 762.107650 2084.715695 8316.699114